{"id":1881,"date":"2026-06-30T12:13:08","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T10:13:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/?p=1881"},"modified":"2026-06-08T12:19:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T10:19:38","slug":"team-camilas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/?p=1881","title":{"rendered":"TEAM CaMiLas"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n
\n
\n \"\"\n
\n

Diapositiva2<\/p>\n <\/figcaption>\n <\/figure><\/section><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Team “CaMiLas”: Carlos Afonso Pereira, Maria Isabel de la Osa Rocha, Ilaria Mazzotti<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Climate Conditions That Increase Tick Activity and Spread<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

From climate variables to tick activity and exposure-risk signal.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n \"\"\n
\n

2. CaMiLas<\/p>\n <\/figcaption>\n <\/figure><\/section><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Abstract<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tick-borne diseases are spreading across Europe, particularly in Eastern Europe (Daalen et al., 2024). Among them, Lyme disease is the most common and concerning: it causes febrile symptoms and, if left untreated with antibiotics, the infection can spread to the joints, heart, and nervous system. Generally, public awareness of this issue remains low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ticks are extremely sensitive to climate variability, particularly temperature, relative humidity, and soil moisture. Their presence is also influenced by vegetation cover, and the main public health strategies to control them revolve around vegetation management and pesticide use.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We propose a platform to help prevent the spread of ticks by combining climate indicators into an index that assesses tick presence risk. This platform could be used by municipalities to plan targeted interventions \u2014 such as grass cutting or pesticide deployment \u2014 as well as by citizens to plan their outdoor activities more safely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The approach relies on the C3S ERA5-Land database for Europe, drawing on three variables: average soil water volume in layer 1, average maximum daily 2 m temperature, and average 2 m dew point temperature. For future implementation, we plan to incorporate tick occurrence data from entomological collections, along with ERA5-Land vegetation data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Data preprocessing involves a 5-day variable aggregation and relative humidity estimation. A favorability score is then calculated for each variable \u2014 temperature, relative humidity, and others \u2014 based on thresholds reported in the scientific literature. Each variable is assigned a weight, and the scores are combined into a suitability index. In the implementation phase, the modeling component will integrate existing literature-based indications and be validated against tick distribution data compared to ERA5-Land data. For the current prototype, the index relies entirely on literature-derived parameters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The final deliverable is a product that uses the tick suitability index to generate risk maps, combining ECMWF Integrated Forecast System (IFS) outputs for early warning with C3S ERA5-Land data for monitoring. The maps will be accompanied by alert signals and tailored recommendations for both institutional and individual users.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Team “CaMiLas”: Carlos Afonso Pereira, Maria Isabel de la Osa Rocha, Ilaria Mazzotti Climate Conditions That Increase Tick Activity and Spread From climate variables to tick activity and exposure-risk signal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1755,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hackathon26"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1881"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1881\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1887,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1881\/revisions\/1887"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1755"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.copernicus-italia.it\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}